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Possession of the football. One of the sports' biggest debates is whether or not to go for it on fourth down. Through this project, I will determine if it is better for a team to go for it on fourth down.  

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Table of Contents: Statement of the Task Pg. 2 Record of Actions Pg. 2 Data, Information, Measurements Pg. 2 Conclusion Pg. 8 Appendix Pg. 8 References Pg. 11 Statement of the Task Football is one of the world's most popular sports (See Appendix 1 for basics on football). In this sport, each team has four downs (chances) to maintain possession of the football. One of the sports' biggest debates is whether or not to go for it on fourth down. Through this project, I will determine if it is better for a team to go for it on fourth down. To complete this task, I will study David Romer's working paper. It's Fourth Down and What Does The Bellman Equation Say? by the University of California-Berkeley professor of economics best explains the theory of fourth down. With this I look at the 4th down percentages, attempts and completions courtesy of NFL.com. I will compare the 4th down conversions from the 2001 and 2002 NFL Seasons...

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