How Far Can 1997 Be Described As a Critical Election?
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HOW FAR CAN 1997 BE DESCRIBED AS A "CRITICAL ELECTION?" The general election of 1997 was seen by many to be a fore-gone conclusion. The experts and the polls had been predicting a Labour victory for almost five years, ever since Black Wednesday in September 1992, and many felt election day itself, may just be a forgettable formality. What had not been expected, however, was one of the biggest Parliamentary majorities in recent times, and one of the biggest collapses of any government in history. Was it, therefore, a "critical election"? The whole terminology surrounding a critical election began in 1955, when V.O. Key identified the type of contest "in which the depth and intensity of electoral involvement are high, in which more or less profound readjustments occur in the relations of power within the community, and in which new and durable electoral groupings are formed." The key word here is "durable"...

